Security Provision

• Conceptualizing Private Military and Security Companies (2026). Conflict Management and Peace Science.
• Rethinking Public Goods Provision: State and Non-State Security Provision in Displacement Settings (2026). With Pilar Sanchez-Bellosta. Under review.
• Policed to Distrust: Colonial Coercion and Contemporary Attitudes toward State Security (2026).
• The Centralization of Security and Citizen Safety: Evidence from Mozambique (2026).
• Chiefs and Security Provision in Malawi (2026). With Alexander Yeandle. [Pre-Analysis Plan]
• How the State Legitimizes Non-State Security Provision (2024).

Politics of Sub-Saharan Africa

• Coups and Social Trust: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Burkina Faso (2026). With Robin Harding and Thomas Isbell. R&R at World Politics.

Meta-Science

• Reproducibility and Robustness of Economics and Political Science Research (2026). With Abel Brodeur, Derek Mikola, Nikolai Cook, et al. (5th author by contribution). Nature.

• Mass Reproducibility in Psychological Science (2026). With Abel Brodeur, Ghina Abdul Baki, Luna Fazio, et al. I4R Working Paper.

• Tracing Dataset Usage in Political Science (2026). [Pre-Analysis Plan]

  I4R Replication Reports

  • A Robustness Reproduction of Martel et al. (2024): “On the Efficacy of Accuracy Prompts Across Partisan Lines: An Adversarial Collaboration”. With Edmund Kelly and Benedetta Giocoli.
  • Reproduction and Robustness of Kao et al. (2024): “Female Representation and Legitimacy”. A Report from the 2024 UC Berkeley Replication Games. With Edmund Kelly, Angela Odermatt, and Albert Ward.
  • Why Do Citizens Tolerate Undemocratic Behaviour? A Comment on Frederiksen (2022). With Matthew Hepplewhite and Scott Moser.
  • A Robustness Reproduction of Tappin, Berinsky and Rand (2023): “Partisans’ Receptivity to Persuasive Messaging is Undiminished by Countervailing Party Leader Cues”. With Edmund Kelly.

Other Publications

• Dataset: Building a Comprehensive Database on Conflict: Ethiopia, 1997–2017 (2024).
• BITSS Blog Post: Ensuring Reproducibility in Large Research Teams (2022).

Selected Works in Progress

Preliminary analysis (P) $\rightarrow$ Finalizing analysis (F) $\rightarrow$ Writing up the manuscript (W).

• Technology Shocks Reshape the Geography of Human Activity: Global Evidence Since 1750 (with Neil Lee and Yohan Iddawela) [W].
• Explaining the Emergence of Security Regimes [W].
• Refugee Camp Onset, Development, and Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa [W].
• Security Responses to Gender-Based Violence in Conflict: Evidence from IDP Camps in Nigeria (with Pilar Sanchez-Bellosta) [F].